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Hype Asset of the Day | September 6th, 2022

Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ: OKTA)

Okta is the leading provider of independent identity verification and access management solutions. It is an American identity and access management company based in San Francisco. It provides cloud software that helps companies manage and secure user authentication into applications, and for developers to build identity controls into applications, website web services and devices. Okta, provides software to more than 16,000 organizations and has actually exceeded estimates by wide margins. Given this recent development, mentions of the company have increased by 173% over the last day, encouraging investors to wonder what makes the company worth so much hype Currently, shares of Okta trade at $65.19.

Positive Hype

Given its leadership, recent success as recorded in the quarterly update and huge potential, there are lots of reasons why you should consider taking a position in Okta.

  • Revenue in the last quarter jumped 43% to $451.8 million, easily beating the analyst consensus at $430.6 million, and was largely led by a 44% rise in subscription-based revenue.

  • Subscription backlog figures rose 25% year over year to $2.79 billion, including $1.50 billion that Okta expects to realize within the next 12 months. Calculated billings were up 36% from year-ago levels.

  • On the bottom line, Okta's adjusted loss of $0.10 per share was a penny better than a year ago, but that was much better than estimates at a per-share loss of $0.30.

  • The company replaced all its salespeople and is continuously ramping up its go-to-market strategy to make it clearer to customers and its sales force as to which customer identity product they should be working with.

  • Okta also launched its identity governance platform in the quarter, helping to unlock a $15 billion addressable market, on top of the $65 billion addressable market the company currently serves in the workforce and customer identity.

  • Two of the bigger components of a security strategy are privileged access management (PAM) and identity governance administration (IGA) and Okta's gaining ground in both areas as its competitors appear to retreat.

  • The company expects full-year revenue of as much as $1.82 billion, representing a 40% growth rate from the previous year's final numbers.

Negative Hype

Although Okta has recently seen some success in terms of performance, there are still some reasons it might not be the best time to invest in the company. Here are three of them.

  • The management acknowledged in its second-quarter earnings report that it was experiencing integration challenges with Auth0.

  • Okta said on the earnings call that it was lowering its calculated billings' guidance for the year by $140 million to a range of $2.04 billion to $2.05 billion, a reflection of the sales challenges and macroeconomic headwinds.

  • Management also mentioned it was reevaluating its long-term growth target of $4 billion in fiscal 2026, which ends in January 2026.


Both sales and losses beat expectations, as analysts' consensus estimates called for revenue of $430.7 million and a non-GAAP (adjusted) loss per share of $0.31.however, upcoming macroeconomic headwinds might still pose a threat to the company. On a price-to-sales basis, the stock is as cheap as it has ever been, trading at a multiple of just over 6 and its solid foundations make it seem like the company is ready to weather the potential storm.

HypeIndex is an AI platform that detects Hype in stocks and cryptos before it moves the market, providing reliable early detection for profitable investment opportunities.

The algorithm for our proprietary HypeIndex score is based on sentiment analysis, data science and machine learning.

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